Showing posts with label Palos Verdes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Palos Verdes. Show all posts

Saturday, March 2, 2013

10 Reasons to Vote Yes for Measure A

10 Reasons to Oppose AES Redondo Beach Power Plant Rebuild 
  1. Emissions from the new power plant would increase 700%. 
  2. 6,850 students go to school within 1.5 miles of it. 
  3. AES management has a horrendous track record and has been involved in several law suits and financial crisis issues including Enron.  Read this "AES Corporation: Rewriting the Rules of Management". 
  4. AES's largest customer is J.P. Morgan according to the AES company fact sheet on the web site.  A bank as your largest customer?  Sounds a bit like Enron to me.  This Redondo Beach power from this plant is not needed per the CAISO and CEC reports.
  5. Power plant lines bring down property values at least 25% in the Redondo Beach & South Hermosa Beach areas and block ocean views.  The power lines may go as well. This has not been studied. 
  6. AES hurts the fiscal health of the Redondo King Harbor area surrounding businesses.  New waterfront developments have been put on hold because of the power plant rebuild issue.  Many new restaurants would likely follow the new Shade Hotel being built on King Harbor more money would flow to the City if the power plant was gone.  
  7. Opposing it costs nothing & AES only needs the Council and others to do nothing and we all lose.  Doing nothing plays right into their hands. This is not about the future zoning of the site.  We definitely don't want a new power plant.  See map below of what this area could be. 
  8. AES pays little in taxes only $385,000 / year in tax revenue to the city. 
  9. AES plant borders on South Hermosa Beach and most HB residents will be affected. 
  10. The loud steam blasts in the middle of the night are simply ridiculous and this beautiful park rendering (see picture below)  done by the California Coast Commission would be incredible the area. 
In a 3-2 vote, the Redondo Beach City Council decided to continue its discussion on a resolution opposing the repowering of AES Redondo Beach at the July 10 meeting. After a meeting that lasted more than seven hours until 1 am, the Redondo Beach City Council decided to delay its discussion on whether to pass a resolution opposing the repowering of the AES Redondo Beach power plant on Harbor Drive until the July 10. This will allow city staff time to hire an independent consultant to perform an amortization report on the current structure. Councilmen Matt Kilroy and Pat Aust both said they wanted to read such a report before making a final decision.  Is this just a delay tactic?  Read more on Redondo Patch and Easy Reader

Redondo Beach City Council 
Matt KilorySteve Aspel, Bill Brand, Pat Aust, Steve Diels

Hermosa Beach, Torrance, Manhattan Beach and Palos Verdes should participate as well in support of removing the power plant. NIMBY thinking and waiting is just plain lazy and stupid.  All surrounding City Council members need to work together because this is such a big issue.  Lets set politics aside and be proactive about finding a solution to do the right thing.  This is not just about Redondo Beach and we all stand to benefit with cleaner air and potentially new development that we all can use. The King Harbor area has so much potential. Its a developers "wet dream" and huge private money would follow the opportunity to create something amazing.  

It Redondo Beach City Council's job to find an alternative solution for the power plant land.  However, we all know political people are lazy and always need LOTS of "hand holding" so they feel safe. Why would City Council members be reluctant to oppose the new power plant remodel that produces a minuscule $200,000 in tax revenue per year which is less money than the city makes from its parking garage at the pier. 

Is AES threatening Redondo Beach City Council members with a law suit?  Any initiative by the city residents is not likely to provide AES with any basis to sue the city. Finally, there is an amortization process through which a city, or a citizen's initiative, can allow businesses adequate time to get a return on their investment in a property before a specific use is banned. The proposed citizen initiative would eliminate industrial uses by 2020, which I think is plenty of time (8 years) for AES to get adequate return on their investment in the property, especially considering the majority of the equipment is old and obsolete, and esentially worthless at this point.  

AES is no stranger to crisis and law suits.  In 1992, AES flirted with disaster when its Shady Point generating facility in Oklahoma was discovered to have been discharging polluted water and to have falsified the samples it provided to the Environmental Protection Agency. In the same year, AES was forced to abandon its rebuilding of a power plant at Cedar Bay, Florida following a dispute with state officials and the local community. These events caused AES’s share price to fall by half.  AES has multiple law suits against the company (see AES Law Suits) search results.  

AES is a $9 billion public company (NYSE: AES) planning to make a $500M+ investment on a power plant that might be worth an estimated $135M (comps based on AES Huntington Beach valuation performed in 2011). AES is looking to repower the plant in 2018. They are currently using the plant only 5% of the time right now, and with an investment of $630 million for a new plant, the amount of energy needed to pay back the investment will mean lots of particulate matter in the atmosphere in Redondo, Hermosa, and surrounding communities. While the footprint will be smaller (12 acres vs the current 50 acres, 4 stacks instead of 5), any chance for revitalizing the waterfront will be lost for 50+ years as no one will want to invest in the area. Here are some points and a link to FAQs Tear Down Redondo Beach Power Plant Blog:


California Coastal Commission's study for AES power plant area



Tuesday, March 6, 2012

$1B+ Destruction of Real Estate Wealth


This picture above precisely why homes are so much cheaper in Huntington Beach, CA.  A $1,000,000 home in Hermosa Beach would likely be 25% less if it were based in Huntington Beach.  Most speculate its because of the widespread drilling amongst the homes.  Do you want our in Hermosa Beach to drop by 25%?  

The 1.3 acre City Yard lot was worth an estimated $57,000 back in 1958 according to old news articles.  At this time oil was trading at $2 per barrel.  This was when the last Shell oil drilling vote was being contested by long timer Hermosa resident and hero Barbara Guild.   What is this City Yard lot worth now? 

Most speculate it might be worth as much as $10M for commercial zoning and possibly as high as $15M if it was rezoned for residential?  That is 175X the value.  Oil is now $100 per barrel only 20X more.  So you have to ask yourself the question which is more valuable today? Real estate or oil?   Are we just giving E&B Oil a $15M piece of property for nothing?  Its not factored into the proposed cost of voting for Yes oil drilling. 

There are 7,000 parcels in Hermosa Beach. Every 1% decrease or increase in home prices in Hermosa represents a $57M increase or decrease in aggregate wealth. A 15% drop would flush $1B of wealth and and huge property tax base down the drain.  The is assuming median home prices are $820,000. This oil drilling deal gambles with $5.7 billion in aggregate real estate wealth based on 7,000 parcels.  This is a zero sum game if you if you factor in the amount of property taxes that will be lost as a result with a 15% drop in real estate values.  You could also make the argument that real estate in Hermosa has been suppressed because of the ongoing oil and bankruptcy issue.  Pay of the $17.5M and real estate may rise by $1 billion in the area and increase the property tax base.

The City "might" make $1M in estimated revenue if they are lucky for a 4% increase on a budget of $25M annual budget? .20 cents per barrel for the schools is going to amount to nothing. Plus they can't spend the money because of the Tidal Lands act which restricts usage of the funds generated from oil.

Property values have risen up 2X since the deal was struck with Macpherson in the 1990's.  Median home prices were around $400,000.  Property values are up a 100X+ since the 1950's when the last oil crises was upon us with Shell.  

Monday, March 5, 2012

E&B Oil Production in California

Hermosa Beach is the logical next step for E&B's oil drilling operation based on this California map of oil underground.  Wilmington & Huntington Beach should be investigated heavily. 
This Map was obtained on the E&B Natural Resources web site here


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